Ostrovets vs BATE Borisov II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2054%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
11º
9º
30
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 68 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 67 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 61 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 61 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 58 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 57 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 57 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 56 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 53 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 46 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 45 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 41 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 39 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 38 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 32 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 30 |
16º
|
34% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 25 |
17º
|
43% | |
|
17º
|
10 | 21 |
18º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostrovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
DNP
2 - 0
OFC
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
OFC
0 - 1
FBG
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
DIN
0 - 1
OFC
29%
24%
47%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
OFC
0 - 3
BEL
20%
21%
59%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 3
OFC
17%
21%
63%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
BAT
0 - 2
VOL
21%
23%
56%
|
20 | 66 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
GOM
1 - 4
BAT
84%
10%
6%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
BAT
1 - 1
BAR
19%
22%
59%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ABF
1 - 0
BAT
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
BAT
5 - 1
UNI
17%
21%
61%
|
17 | 56 | 39 | +2 |