Ostia Mare vs Lupa Cast Rom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ARZ
1 - 2
OST
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
OST
3 - 2
OLB
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 3
OST
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
OST
4 - 0
NUO
45%
24%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FON
0 - 3
OST
30%
23%
47%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Lupa Cast Rom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LCR
2 - 1
ANZ
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
TCA
2 - 3
LCR
45%
25%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LCR
1 - 0
AST
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SOR
0 - 1
LCR
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LCR
2 - 1
BUD
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |