Ostia Mare vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
VFC
2 - 2
OST
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
OST
3 - 0
SPO
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ARZ
0 - 0
OST
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
OST
3 - 4
FLA
63%
21%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 1
OST
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 2
DER
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SCA
2 - 1
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 0
ANC
63%
19%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
VFC
1 - 0
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 5
PIS
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |