Ostia Mare vs Unipomezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
FOL
3 - 3
OST
26%
25%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
OST
2 - 2
PIA
39%
28%
33%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
TRA
1 - 1
OST
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
OST
1 - 1
SPO
38%
27%
35%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
MON
2 - 2
OST
61%
23%
17%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |