Österlen vs Simrishamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
23.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
8º
3º
26
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Österlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FBK
2 - 0
OST
29%
21%
50%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
NOS
0 - 3
OST
22%
21%
58%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
OST
3 - 0
RAP
47%
22%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
IFL
0 - 4
OST
19%
19%
63%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
OST
2 - 2
KAR
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SIM
0 - 3
HOG
70%
16%
14%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SIM
0 - 2
KRI
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
SIM
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 2
IFK
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 2
SIM
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |