Österlen vs Simrishamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
13º
12º
37
6º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
82.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Österlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
KRI
2 - 1
OST
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
OST
0 - 2
HAS
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FBK
0 - 1
OST
30%
22%
48%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KRI
1 - 2
OST
48%
22%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
OST
0 - 4
HAS
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SIM
3 - 0
NOS
5%
13%
82%
|
10 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
IFK
3 - 1
SIM
91%
7%
2%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SIM
1 - 1
ROS
4%
11%
85%
|
8 | 38 | 30 | +2 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SIM
0 - 4
OST
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | -1 |