Österlen vs Karlshamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
14º
7º
13
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 56 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 50 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 45 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 40 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 39 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 31 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 31 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 30 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 27 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 23 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 35% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 17% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 48% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Österlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
OST
4 - 1
NOS
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
HOG
3 - 2
OST
26%
21%
54%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
OST
1 - 1
KAR
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
LIN
0 - 2
OST
15%
17%
67%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
NOS
2 - 1
OST
20%
20%
60%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Karlshamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
0 - 4
KAR
27%
22%
52%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
NOS
4 - 0
IFK
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 0
TRE
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
SOG
4 - 2
IFK
60%
19%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 3
IFK
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +2 |