Ostbahn XI vs Würmla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostbahn XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
OST
1 - 1
WIE
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
AMS
4 - 0
OST
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
OST
3 - 1
MAT
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
FAC
2 - 0
OST
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
OST
2 - 0
ADM
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
WUR
3 - 3
ZWE
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
WUR
0 - 0
SVH
28%
25%
48%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 1
WUR
73%
18%
9%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
WUR
3 - 1
WIE
16%
21%
63%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +6 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SVS
1 - 0
WUR
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |