Ostbahn XI vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
47.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostbahn XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
RAP
2 - 5
OST
95%
3%
1%
|
46 | 82 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
OST
0 - 2
AWM
19%
20%
61%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
OST
1 - 3
FCW
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1942 |
FAC
2 - 1
OST
90%
6%
3%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1942 |
OST
2 - 2
AUS
10%
16%
74%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
STR
0 - 4
RAP
15%
15%
70%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
AWM
8 - 1
STR
81%
11%
9%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
STR
1 - 5
VIE
22%
19%
60%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
STR
2 - 4
FAC
45%
21%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
STR
2 - 6
FCW
47%
22%
31%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |