Ostbahn XI vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostbahn XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 4
OST
50%
22%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
OST
3 - 0
WIE
83%
12%
5%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FAV
1 - 2
OST
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
OST
4 - 4
TEA
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DON
0 - 2
OST
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
DON
2 - 0
FOR
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
STA
42%
24%
34%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
POS
4 - 1
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
NAC
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
WIE
0 - 2
FOR
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |