Ostbahn XI vs Donaufeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
61.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostbahn XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
WAF
1 - 4
OST
46%
21%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
OST
2 - 0
FAV
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 1
OST
70%
16%
14%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
OST
1 - 3
SPO
17%
20%
63%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 0
OST
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
DON
10 - 0
AUS
68%
18%
15%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SKS
1 - 1
DON
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DON
2 - 2
DON
78%
14%
9%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
POS
0 - 2
DON
11%
18%
72%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DON
1 - 0
STA
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |