OSS '20 vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
LIE
1 - 4
OSS
15%
20%
66%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
EVV
0 - 1
OSS
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
OSS
2 - 1
HOO
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
QUI
1 - 2
OSS
27%
23%
50%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
OSS
1 - 1
ADO
62%
20%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
USV
1 - 5
QUI
38%
23%
39%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
DEM
0 - 2
USV
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
USV
1 - 2
OOS
17%
20%
63%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
WES
2 - 0
USV
60%
20%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
USV
0 - 1
DON
47%
23%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |