OSS '20 vs HSC 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GVV
4 - 2
OSS
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
OSS
1 - 0
QUI
62%
21%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
USV
3 - 1
OSS
28%
25%
48%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
OSS
5 - 1
ADO
76%
15%
10%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
BLA
0 - 2
OSS
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
HSC 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
DON
1 - 1
HSC
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
UNA
3 - 1
HSC
79%
14%
8%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
HSC
1 - 5
JOS
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
OOS
2 - 1
HSC
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
HSC
0 - 1
EVV
42%
27%
32%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |