OSS '20 vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
OSS
1 - 0
QUI
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VLI
0 - 2
OSS
32%
25%
44%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
OSS
4 - 1
DOS
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
DES
1 - 0
OSS
19%
20%
62%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
OSS
3 - 1
IFC
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GEM
1 - 1
DOS
67%
19%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
GES
1 - 1
GEM
33%
21%
46%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
GEM
2 - 3
DEL
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
DES
2 - 2
GEM
33%
23%
45%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GEM
0 - 1
EHC
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |