OSS '20 vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
65.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
OSS
3 - 1
HOL
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
JOS
3 - 3
OSS
16%
20%
64%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
OSS
1 - 0
EVV
79%
15%
7%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
OSS
2 - 0
GRO
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
OSS
2 - 1
HSC
77%
14%
9%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 2
NEC
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 1
WIL
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 1
TWE
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SCH
2 - 3
TWE
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
TWE
3 - 1
AZA
14%
21%
65%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +2 |