OSS '20 vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
JOS
1 - 1
OSS
14%
19%
68%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
DEM
3 - 1
OSS
27%
23%
50%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
DON
2 - 3
OSS
21%
22%
57%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
OSS
2 - 0
GVV
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
OSS
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 3
SPO
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
HOE
1 - 1
EXC
47%
24%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 1
EXC
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
5 - 3
TER
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 1
GVV
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |