OSS '20 vs DESO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
IFC
2 - 3
OSS
24%
23%
54%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
HAL
1 - 1
OSS
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
OSS
8 - 0
NUE
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
EHC
0 - 3
OSS
16%
21%
64%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
OSS
1 - 0
GRO
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
DESO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
DES
5 - 2
CHE
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
DES
0 - 2
GRO
48%
24%
27%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
DES
2 - 3
HAL
35%
26%
40%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
NUE
0 - 1
DES
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
DES
2 - 1
VLI
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |