OSS '20 vs DESO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
DOS
1 - 1
OSS
29%
24%
48%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
OSS
3 - 4
EHC
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
GEM
1 - 2
OSS
44%
24%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
OSS
3 - 1
BAR
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
UDI
0 - 3
OSS
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
DESO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
DES
1 - 2
HAL
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GRO
0 - 1
DES
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
DES
0 - 1
VLI
29%
23%
49%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DON
3 - 0
DES
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DES
5 - 0
BLA
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |