OSS '20 vs Blauw Geel '38 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
8º
17º
14º
66
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 50 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
94% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
OSS
74%
15%
11%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
OSS
3 - 3
MEE
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
STE
1 - 0
OSS
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
OSS
5 - 2
QUI
23%
23%
55%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 1
OSS
64%
20%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Blauw Geel '38
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 3
GEM
46%
23%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
OJC
1 - 4
BLA
41%
23%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 0
HOE
33%
23%
44%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 2
BAR
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MEE
0 - 0
BLA
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |