Oskarshamns AIK vs Falkenbergs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
68%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
9º
16º
11º
67
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oskarshamns AIK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LBK
0 - 2
OSK
72%
18%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OSK
3 - 3
ANG
51%
23%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
OSK
1 - 1
TOR
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ESK
0 - 1
OSK
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OSK
0 - 3
ATV
51%
23%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Falkenbergs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FAL
5 - 1
TRO
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TVA
0 - 2
FAL
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FAL
2 - 0
IKO
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
FAL
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FAL
2 - 1
NOR
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |