Osipovichy vs BATE Borisov II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2150%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
9º
18º
18º
31
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
34 | 67 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 66 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 64 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 61 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 59 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 59 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 57 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 56 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 53 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 46 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 43 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 42 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 39 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 37 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 32 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 30 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
17º
|
10 | 25 |
17º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
11% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
89% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osipovichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
OSI
1 - 2
DIN
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
OSI
0 - 4
BEL
5%
13%
82%
|
34 | 70 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
OSI
1 - 5
SLA
7%
15%
79%
|
34 | 77 | 43 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 2
OSI
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
OSI
1 - 1
GOM
8%
19%
73%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | +2 |
Matches
BATE Borisov II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2025 |
DNP
1 - 1
BAT
67%
21%
13%
|
34 | 70 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
BAT
2 - 3
FBG
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
DIN
0 - 2
BAT
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | +3 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
BAT
1 - 0
BEL
19%
22%
59%
|
29 | 72 | 43 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
FCS
2 - 4
BAT
62%
21%
16%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +2 |