Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 1-1
NK Osijek vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
HNG
3 - 1
OSI
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
CSK
1 - 0
OSI
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
OSI
2 - 0
SLA
59%
24%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
UJP
1 - 0
OSI
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
OSI
2 - 0
FCK
38%
26%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SSO
1 - 2
CSK
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
CSK
1 - 0
OSI
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
CSK
1 - 3
CVA
69%
19%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
MLA
0 - 0
CSK
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
CSK
2 - 2
ETA
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |