Copa del Rey . Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Osasuna vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SEV
2 - 3
OSA
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
OSA
0 - 2
RMA
11%
19%
70%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VAD
0 - 0
OSA
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 1
OSA
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
OSA
0 - 1
ATM
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 3
GIR
59%
24%
18%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ATM
1 - 0
ATH
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VCF
1 - 2
ATH
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
ATH
4 - 1
CAD
60%
24%
16%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 0
ATH
31%
26%
43%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |