Paulista B Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Osasco FC vs Mauaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MAU
1 - 0
OSA
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BFC
0 - 2
OSA
17%
19%
64%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
OSA
2 - 0
SAO
22%
21%
57%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +4 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
AAI
0 - 1
OSA
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
OSA
0 - 1
AAI
44%
23%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mauaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MAU
1 - 0
OSA
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
AME
0 - 2
MAU
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
MAU
0 - 2
ECN
42%
22%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 3
MAU
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
MAU
2 - 2
UNI
57%
20%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |