Os Chaos CF vs UD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
76.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Chaos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BMI
6 - 1
CHA
68%
18%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 2
PIN
44%
23%
33%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SAL
5 - 0
CHA
54%
22%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
UD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
UDO
2 - 1
RIB
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
APE
0 - 7
UDO
9%
16%
75%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UDO
8 - 0
RAZ
87%
10%
4%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |