Os Chaos CF vs A Merca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Chaos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CEN
6 - 0
CHA
56%
19%
25%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 8
OUR
15%
17%
68%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
CHA
40%
20%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 5
BUB
60%
17%
23%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CRE
3 - 1
CHA
31%
20%
48%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
A Merca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MER
2 - 2
OUR
10%
15%
75%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BUB
2 - 3
MER
55%
20%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MER
2 - 3
VIL
17%
20%
63%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ALL
2 - 0
MER
56%
23%
22%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MER
0 - 2
BMI
29%
22%
49%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |