Os Chaos CF vs A Merca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Chaos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
POU
8 - 0
CHA
80%
12%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BUB
2 - 1
CHA
58%
18%
24%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 2
MAC
62%
18%
21%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 1
CHA
42%
19%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 4
ESP
48%
20%
32%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
A Merca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MER
0 - 4
OUT
16%
18%
65%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
PAL
53%
20%
27%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
POU
4 - 1
MER
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MER
1 - 1
BUB
39%
21%
40%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 4
MER
34%
22%
44%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |