Os Chaos CF vs A Merca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.8%
19.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Chaos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
MAC
4 - 0
CHA
42%
19%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 2
VIL
59%
18%
23%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
4 - 0
CHA
62%
19%
19%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BUB
9 - 0
CHA
52%
19%
30%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
MUN
36%
20%
44%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
A Merca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
MER
1 - 1
PSI
45%
22%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
MER
64%
18%
18%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MER
1 - 1
PAD
44%
22%
35%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 1
MER
68%
17%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MER
1 - 1
MAC
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |