Orzeł Wierzbica vs Start Otwock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orzeł Wierzbica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
OWP
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
OWP
0 - 1
HWP
34%
24%
42%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
OKL
0 - 0
OWP
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SOT
2 - 0
PFC
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SOT
1 - 1
UWA
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
SOT
1 - 5
PLO
17%
23%
61%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
BRZ
1 - 0
SOT
66%
21%
13%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SOT
1 - 0
ZNI
20%
25%
55%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +3 |