Orzeł Wierzbica vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orzeł Wierzbica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
WZP
4 - 0
OWP
54%
23%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
OWP
0 - 4
22%
26%
52%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
OWP
0 - 3
KSL
17%
24%
59%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
UWA
2 - 2
OWP
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
OWP
0 - 3
MKP
43%
25%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
LTM
1 - 1
SOT
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
OKL
0 - 0
LTM
46%
24%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
LTM
0 - 3
ZRP
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
WIE
1 - 0
LTM
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
1 - 1
LTM
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |