Orzán Sd vs Atlético dos Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
42.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orzán Sd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CDC
1 - 2
ORZ
48%
22%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ORZ
0 - 3
COR
11%
17%
72%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
ORZ
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ORZ
0 - 3
MAR
46%
22%
32%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SIQ
2 - 1
ORZ
86%
10%
5%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético dos Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 5
GAL
44%
22%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 3
SCD
41%
23%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CDC
0 - 3
CAS
31%
23%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 3
COR
22%
21%
57%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
CAS
74%
15%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |