Orvietana Calcio vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ACS
0 - 0
ORV
40%
27%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PON
1 - 0
ORV
65%
22%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ORV
2 - 1
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ORV
0 - 1
ASD
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
VOL
1 - 2
ORV
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SSD
0 - 2
ASD
38%
25%
37%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SSD
0 - 2
CAS
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TOD
1 - 0
SSD
50%
24%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ZAG
2 - 1
SSD
31%
25%
45%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SSD
1 - 2
ASD
39%
25%
36%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |