Orvietana Calcio vs Sporting Trestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PIE
1 - 2
ORV
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ORV
0 - 2
ARZ
13%
22%
65%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 0
ORV
61%
22%
16%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ORV
1 - 2
ASD
39%
25%
36%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
DER
1 - 0
ORV
49%
26%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
ASD
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
TOD
1 - 1
SPO
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 0
ZAG
52%
23%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAS
3 - 0
SPO
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 2
PIE
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |