Orvietana Calcio vs US Forcoli 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
MPO
0 - 3
ORV
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ORV
2 - 1
FOR
35%
26%
40%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ASL
1 - 0
ORV
80%
15%
6%
|
22 | 58 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
ORV
2 - 3
MON
18%
24%
58%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
GAV
0 - 0
ORV
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
FOR
0 - 0
ASD
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
APC
1 - 0
FOR
32%
25%
43%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
FOR
3 - 2
MAS
21%
23%
56%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +3 |
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 1
FOR
63%
21%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 4
ASS
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |