Orusco vs Toledo Olivos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orusco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FSC
4 - 0
ORU
27%
22%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
ORU
18%
20%
62%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ORU
0 - 0
LMR
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LME
2 - 0
ORU
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ORU
5 - 1
ARB
80%
12%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toledo Olivos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 4
PSU
27%
22%
51%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 1
MEJ
28%
21%
51%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
COB
3 - 0
TOL
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 3
RVM
21%
21%
59%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
COV
2 - 0
TOL
53%
21%
26%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |