Orusco vs Sporting de Arganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
53.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orusco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 4
ORU
45%
20%
35%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ORU
3 - 2
FSC
74%
15%
12%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SBM
1 - 11
ORU
47%
20%
33%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ORU
1 - 0
VIL
62%
17%
20%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 1
ORU
84%
11%
6%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting de Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
VCJ
51%
21%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 4
SPO
19%
19%
61%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 0
MOR
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 4
SPO
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SPO
6 - 2
ESC
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |