Orusco vs Loeches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
61.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orusco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
ARB
2 - 4
ORU
61%
19%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
ORU
1 - 6
PSU
29%
22%
49%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ORU
1 - 2
TFU
24%
22%
55%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MEJ
1 - 0
ORU
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ORU
4 - 1
COB
58%
20%
23%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Loeches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
LME
0 - 0
PSU
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MEJ
1 - 1
LME
18%
20%
62%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LME
7 - 1
COB
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
RVM
0 - 3
LME
33%
22%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LME
7 - 0
COV
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |