Orusco vs EMF de Carabaña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
7.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orusco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 4
ORU
30%
21%
49%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ORU
3 - 1
SPO
26%
21%
54%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 4
ORU
45%
20%
35%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ORU
3 - 2
FSC
74%
15%
12%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SBM
1 - 11
ORU
47%
20%
33%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
EMF de Carabaña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
SBM
2 - 5
CAR
53%
19%
29%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 3
VIL
53%
20%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CHI
3 - 1
CAR
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ESC
2 - 2
CAR
45%
22%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
SIV
20%
20%
60%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |