Orusco vs EMF de Carabaña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
13.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orusco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SIV
2 - 0
ORU
49%
21%
31%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ORU
1 - 1
RIV
67%
16%
17%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
BOC
3 - 1
ORU
56%
19%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ESC
2 - 2
ORU
25%
19%
56%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ORU
2 - 2
VCJ
36%
22%
42%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
EMF de Carabaña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
VCJ
8%
14%
78%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 2
CAR
48%
21%
32%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
MOR
59%
19%
22%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
CAR
35%
21%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 3
SPO
22%
21%
58%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |