Orusco vs Deportivo Ardoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
4.5%
5-3
1.4%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
14.2%
14.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-97%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orusco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ESB
1 - 3
ORU
9%
14%
77%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ORU
1 - 1
TOR
52%
19%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TOL
0 - 1
ORU
5%
10%
85%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ORU
4 - 3
CAT
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 5
ORU
7%
12%
81%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Ardoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
DAR
1 - 2
TSI
60%
18%
23%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FDT
1 - 2
DAR
13%
15%
72%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
DAR
1 - 1
LPT
49%
20%
31%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 5
DAR
15%
16%
69%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
DAR
1 - 1
LME
61%
18%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |