Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 0-8
Orsomarso SC vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orsomarso SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
ORS
1 - 1
PER
21%
26%
54%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
TOL
3 - 0
ORS
73%
19%
8%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ORS
0 - 1
REA
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
BJC
2 - 1
ORS
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ORS
1 - 2
CAR
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
ENV
2 - 1
TOL
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
TOL
3 - 0
ORS
73%
19%
8%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
TOL
4 - 0
SFE
50%
28%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
AGU
3 - 0
TOL
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 1
AME
51%
26%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |