1a B Ap. Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Orsomarso SC vs Deportes Quindío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
50.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orsomarso SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
ORS
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
ORS
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ORS
1 - 0
LLA
42%
29%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
ORS
0 - 3
AME
26%
24%
50%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 0
ORS
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2017 |
QUI
2 - 1
HUI
43%
26%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
RSC
0 - 1
QUI
32%
28%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
QUI
2 - 0
BOG
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
PER
0 - 0
QUI
51%
24%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
CUC
1 - 0
QUI
39%
28%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |