Orpesa vs San Mateo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orpesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
IBA
2 - 1
ORP
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ORP
3 - 0
CAL
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 3
ORP
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
VIN
1 - 2
ORP
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ORP
1 - 2
BEN
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
San Mateo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 0
VIN
30%
23%
48%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 0
MAT
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
TRA
22%
22%
56%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PED
1 - 2
MAT
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 4
POB
22%
22%
55%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |