Orpesa vs Morella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orpesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
ORP
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ORP
1 - 3
CAB
73%
15%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ORP
1 - 0
BEN
56%
20%
24%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
IBA
3 - 0
ORP
70%
17%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ORP
1 - 1
OND
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Morella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 2
IBA
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
OND
2 - 1
MOR
31%
22%
47%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 0
MOR
28%
22%
51%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VIN
1 - 0
MOR
58%
21%
22%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 1
RAF
18%
18%
64%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |