Orpesa vs Morella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orpesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ORP
2 - 1
VIN
53%
21%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
ORP
36%
23%
41%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ORP
1 - 0
TRA
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
PED
3 - 1
ORP
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ORP
2 - 2
POB
78%
14%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Morella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
CAB
59%
20%
22%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
VIN
4 - 0
MOR
51%
22%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
SAN
24%
23%
53%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
4 - 2
MOR
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
4 - 1
OND
46%
21%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |