Orpesa vs Cinctorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orpesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TRA
3 - 0
ORP
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ORP
3 - 0
CAT
62%
19%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ORP
1 - 3
PED
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 3
ORP
11%
17%
72%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ORP
3 - 1
MOR
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cinctorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CIN
1 - 2
MAT
65%
19%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 2
CIN
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CIN
1 - 4
BEN
48%
23%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 1
CIN
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CIN
0 - 2
ALC
31%
23%
46%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |