Orpesa vs Calig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orpesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 3
ORP
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
VIN
1 - 2
ORP
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ORP
1 - 2
BEN
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ORP
3 - 2
PED
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
POB
1 - 1
ORP
36%
23%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
VIN
20%
21%
59%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
3 - 1
CAL
70%
17%
13%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 3
TRA
20%
21%
60%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
PED
2 - 2
CAL
59%
20%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 3
POB
27%
23%
50%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |