Orpesa vs Rafalafena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orpesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 2
ORP
45%
22%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ORP
2 - 1
RPL
37%
22%
41%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
NJC
2 - 0
ORP
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ORP
2 - 0
POB
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 0
ORP
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rafalafena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
RAF
2 - 1
POB
50%
23%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
RAF
80%
13%
8%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
RAF
0 - 3
CDB
32%
24%
45%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
TRR
1 - 0
RAF
62%
21%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 0
MOR
35%
25%
41%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |