Orpesa vs Rafalafena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
44.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orpesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 3
ORP
24%
22%
55%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ORP
3 - 2
CAB
62%
19%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
ORP
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ORP
4 - 1
OND
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
BOR
1 - 3
ORP
25%
22%
53%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Rafalafena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
RAF
3 - 2
VIN
63%
19%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
RAF
21%
20%
59%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
RAF
1 - 1
TRA
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PED
2 - 4
RAF
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ORP
0 - 2
RAF
6%
12%
83%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | +1 |