Orpesa B vs Rafalafena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.3%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
82.8%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.3%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orpesa B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
SLA
8 - 0
ORP
91%
7%
3%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ORP
0 - 1
CAS
14%
18%
69%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
EST
4 - 0
ORP
88%
9%
4%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ORP
0 - 1
GRA
26%
22%
53%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ORP
2 - 2
DRA
16%
19%
65%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Rafalafena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
RAF
5 - 1
DRA
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
RAC
1 - 7
RAF
9%
14%
77%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
RAF
4 - 0
BEN
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 8
RAF
13%
17%
69%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ROD
1 - 0
RAF
57%
20%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |